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RiskSummit 2009 Agenda

The following agenda—listing confirmed presenters only—is accurate as of July 23rd, 2009. The online agenda will be updated regularly as additional speakers and panel members confirm, so please revisit this page often as the conference start date approaches:

Sunday, July 26, 2009

  • General Sessions
  • Analytic Solution Overviews and Updates
  • Welcome Reception
  • Monday, July 27, 2009

  • Breakfast/Registration
  • General Sessions
    Track Sessions
  • Investment Track
  • Due Diligence Track
  • Modeling & Analytics Track
  • Servicing Track
  • Lunch/Recreational Activities
  • Evening Reception and Dinner
  • Tuesday, July 28, 2009

  • Breakfast/Registration
  • General Sessions
    Track Sessions
  • Servicing Track
  • Regulatory Track
  • Collateral Risk Track
  • Modeling & Analytics Track
  • Lunch
  • Analytic Solution Intensives
  • Adjournment
  • Sunday, July 26, 2009

    General Sessions

    • 12:00 - 6:00 PM—Conference Registration

    Analytic Solution Overviews and Updates

    These compact overviews will present the latest features and product roadmaps of LoanPerformance and First American CoreLogic data and analytics solutions. Designed for new and current solution users, you will quickly be updated on the most important enhancements recently added and on the roadmap for the next six months and have the opportunity to provide feedback. In addition, solution subject matters experts will be available to answer specific questions and conduct personalized solutions demonstrations throughout the afternoon.
    • 1:00 - 1:15 PM—Data and Solutions Strategic Overview

      • Building analytics on an unrivaled set of data assets
      • Meeting our clients' needs: our solutions in action
      • Innovating for tomorrow’s market dynamics


    • 1:15 – 2:00 PM—Mortgage Information Solutions

      • Mortgage-backed securities

        • Collateral and market summary reporting
        • Data import service for RiskModel using bulk export
        • Tracking accurate, updated loan-to-value using TrueLTV


      • Mortgage portfolio management

        • Market trends – This may just be the eye of the storm
        • No servicer is an island – how to triangulate your portfolio in this market
        • What can be learned from the last three years? The data tells a story


    • 2:00 – 2:45 PM—Real Estate Information Solutions

      • Real estate market trends

        • Home price indices and home price index forecasts
        • Market trends, foreclosures and negative equity data
        • Value Trends: home price distributions and listings data
        • Bringing it all together: A holistic view of regional real estate data


      • Automated valuation models (AVMs)

        • Overview of best practices for AVM testing
        • Latest innovations in AVM performance testing
        • Building better AVM cascades


    • 2:45 – 3:15 PM—Consumer Credit Information Solutions

      • Credit data and scores

        • Enhancing loan-level data with borrower and property information
        • Consumer credit data and scores – what is available?
        • Risk predictions using loan-level consumer credit data


    • 3:15 – 3:30 PM—Break

    • 3:30 – 4:00 PM—Collateral and Fraud Risk Solutions

      • Collateral and fraud risk tools

        • Collateral scoring in today’s volatile market
        • Impact of contributory databases for fraud prevention
        • Fraud analytics for targeting borrower intent in loan mods


    • 4:00 – 4:30 PM—Default and Loss Mitigation Analysis

      • Exploiting the synergy among borrower, property and loan product data—especially with respect to default and loss mitigation
      • Analysis of the "willingness" effect—a key element of distressed borrower behavior
      • An overview of loan treatments


    • 4:30 – 5:00 PM—Risk Management Solutions

      • Credit and prepayment risk tools

        • Market requirements in today’s environment
        • What's new in RiskModel version 4.2
        • RiskModel product and analytics roadmap


    • 5:00– 6:00 PM—Bond Pricing Solutions

      • RMBS pricing tools

        • Increased transparency begins at the loan-level
        • The data and analytics to power a robust solution
        • Best-in-class bond pricing

    Welcome Reception

    • 7:00 to 9:30 PM—Opening Reception and Dinner Buffet

    Top

    Monday, July 27, 2009

    Breakfast/Registration

    • 6:45 - 7:45 AM—Buffet Breakfast

    • 6:45 - 12 Noon—Conference Registration

    General Sessions

    • 8:00 – 8:15 AM—Welcome Address and Opening Remarks

       George Livermore, CEO, First American CoreLogic

    • 8:15 – 9:15 AM—Keynote

       Steve Forbes, President and CEO, Forbes and Editor-in-Chief, Forbes Magazine

    • 9:15 – 10:00 AM—Mid-Year Economic Outlook

       David Berson, PhD, SVP, Chief Economist and Strategist, The PMI Group, Inc.
       Mark Fleming, PhD, Chief Economist, First American CoreLogic

    Top

    Track Sessions

    Investment Track

    • 10:10 – 11:00 AM—Tranche Warfare—A New Kind of Class Struggle

      A CDO bond has senior and subordinate tranches. In the current environment, senior tranches are suffering a host of maladies—poor trigger design, well-intentioned but economically illogical work-outs/modifications, and over-capacity servicers. Loan modifications inadvertently—but invariably—favor lower-rated over senior classes, then servicer-owned second liens introduce conflicts of interest. If this situation continues, senior holders will inevitably lose principal. What, if anything, can be done?

      Moderator
       Patrick Bassett, Vice President, Corporate Trust Services, Wells Fargo Bank, N.A.

      Panelists
       Michael Lau, Executive Vice President, Phoenix Capital
       Sean Dobson, President, Amherst Securities

    • 11:10 – 12:00 PM—The Little Engine That Could—New Rules, New Companies

      Start-up strategies driving new companies formed by ex-investment bankers, ex-hedge fund managers, and others—to address the new (and implied) rules that will control businesses operating in the brave new world of mortgage finance. Some investors are going to profit immensely from the turmoil while others will be burned. Which strategies and tools will work and which will fail?

      Moderator
       Brendan Keane, Senior Vice President, First American CoreLogic

      Panelists
       Stuart D. Marvin, Executive Vice President & Co-Founder, LendSure Financial Services, Inc.
       Michael Mattera, Executive Vice President, ARC-WESTWOOD Home Saver Mortgage
       Michael A. Commaroto, CEO, Vantium Management, LP
       David Akre, CEO, Whole Loan Capital, LLC

    Top

    Due Diligence Track

    • 10:10 – 11:00 AM—Do You Really Understand Collateral Valuation?

      Did you get what you thought you were getting in your last acquisition? Or are you going through the painful process of discovering how naïve you still are about the real value of the properties in portfolios and MBS/ABS securities? What are the most common valuation and trading mistakes made by market participants—and how can you avoid them? The “I got picked off” panel.

      Moderator
       Mark Hughes, Vice President, Due Diligence Solutions, First American CoreLogic

      Panelists
       Mimi Grotto, Managing Director, Mission Capital Advisors
       Laurie Goodman, Senior Managing Director, Amherst Securities
       Kathryn Kelbaugh, VP and Senior Analyst, Moody's Investors Service

    • 11:10 – 12:00 PM—Due Diligence and Fraud—No Longer a Matter of Trust

      As causes of the economy’s meltdown become clearer, the role played by mortgage fraud is emerging as either a major cause or a major consequence of the initial subprime collapse. How pervasive was—and is—fraud? Is it likely to get better or worse? How “baked into” existing portfolios and mortgage-backed securities is it? How can you spot and prevent it when you buy? What recourse do you have when you identify fraud? How do you work out of it when you find it?

      Moderator
       Felice Kesselring, Sr. Director, Collateral Risk and Fraud Products, First American CoreLogic

      Panelists
       Robin Ramsay, Managing Director, TPG Diligence
       Marnie Applegate, SVP, National Credit Policy Manager, SunTrust Mortgage
       Frank McKenna, Chief Fraud Strategist, BasePoint Analytics

    Top

    Modeling & Analytics Track

    • 10:10 – 11:00 AM—Practical Applications in Risk Modeling

      With the public debate about mark-to-market vs. mark-to-model—and the sudden easing of FAS157-e requirements—how should companies use quantitative tools to select, manage, and account for their assets? How can these tools be used for asset selection and management? How can risk model design help investors? What about the new accounting realities—setting loss reserves, OTTI, asset valuations? Can risk models be adapted to supply acceptable, sufficiently transparent disclosure? Will FAS157-e changes alter the distressed-asset valuation landscape—for example, the Public-Private Investment Program?

      Moderator
       Troy L. Haines, SVP, Modeling & Analytics, Chase Home Finance

      Panelists
       Ken Duncan, Managing Partner, CastlePeak Capital Advisors
       Paul Calem, PhD, Director, Banking Supervision, Federal Reserve Board
       Jay Guo, PhD, Director, Head of Global Structured Securities, Interactive Data
       Alan Neale, Senior Manager, Secured Lending Oversight, Citi

    Top

    Servicing Track

    • 11:10 – 12:00 PM—Managing Distressed Assets—Not As Easy As It Looks

      Are you good at restructuring/disposing debt and equity collateralized by sub and non-performing mortgages? Do you understand the practices and priorities that got them (and you) to this point? Have you a system that can reassess each mortgage's performance continuously? Or have you discovered that managing distressed assets is not so easy. Learn how some experts approach/overcome these challenges—including best practices workouts and REO, forbearance, principal short sales, and more.

      Moderator
       Phil Comeau, President and CEO, The Phillip E. Comeau Company, Inc.

      Panelists
       David Reedy, SVP, Head of Whole Loan Trading, Ranieri Partners Management, LLC
       James DePalma, EVP, Special Servicing, Arbor Residential Mortgage
       Christopher West, CEO, Green River Capital
       Tom Skinner, PhD, Managing Partner, RedBrick Partners

    Top

    Monday Afternoon

    Lunch

    • Noon – 1:00 PM—Deli Lunch

    Recreational Activities

    • 12:30 PM—Golf Shotgun

    • 12:45 PM—Sailing, Biking, Kayaking

    • 1:00 PM—Tennis

    • 1:00 - 5:00 PM—Spa

    Top

    Monday Evening

    • 7:00 - 10:00 PM—Cocktail Reception and Dinner

    Tuesday, July 28, 2009

    Breakfast/Registration

    • 7:30 - 8:30 AM—Breakfast

    Top

    General Session 1

    • 8:30 – 9:15 AM—Research Throwdown—What the Big Brains Say

      A simple panel of complex minds: what some of the really smart Wall Street researchers think about what’s happened so far to the industry, what’s got to change in the brave new post-meltdown world, what’s it’s going to mean for the structure and size of the industry, and how long it's going to take to shake out all the bad stuff and feel good again.

      Moderator
       Glenn Costello, Managing Director, Fitch Ratings

      Panelists
       Rod Dubitsky, EVP, Global Structured Finance, PIMCO
       Thomas Zimmerman, Managing Director, UBS Investment Bank
       Vipul Jain, Vice President, Sr. Mortgage Credit Analyst, Bank of America

    General Session 2

    • 9:15 – 10:00 AM—Let’s Hear It from the Traders

      In the immortal words of Gordon Gekko (Wall Street): “Lunch is for wimps.” A panel of fearless Wall Street mortgage market traders (all types—whole loans, distressed asset portfolios, whatever) shares lessons learned and opportunities spotted—and the actions taken (or not) right now. A who’s-who panel of experts.

      Moderator
       Trenton Staley, President, Due Diligence, Global Financial Review, Inc.

      Panelists
       David Reedy, SVP, Head of Whole Loan Trading, Ranieri Partners Management, LLC
       Peter Barkey, Chief Investment Officer, Roosevelt Management Company, LLC
       Steve Katz, Chief Investment Officer, Arbor Residential Mortgage

    Top

    Track Sessions

    Servicing Track

    • 10:10 – 11:00 AM—Servicing the Servicer—the Case for Renewal

      The business of servicing has dramatically changed during the past year, going from a repetitious, relatively stable grind to a high-touch, high-risk opportunity to play a key role in reinventing the mortgage marketplace. Servicers and investors explore new opportunities for growth and profitability in the servicing sector—taking into consideration operational and technological challenges that can sidetrack, counteract, and dampen the entrepreneurial spirit.

      Moderator
       Matt Slonaker, Senior Vice President, REDC Default Solutions

      Panelists
       Kelly O’Bannon, Senior Vice President, Servicing Operations, Residential Credit Solutions
       Jeff Lemieux, Senior Vice President, GMAC Mortgage Subservicing
       Art Lyon, President, HomEq Servicing

    Top

    Regulatory Track

    • 10:10 – 11:00 AM—TARP, TALF, PPIP—Stimulating the Markets Yet?

      How effective are the US government stimulus programs like TARP, TALF and PPIP? What should the government be doing? What would the panelists do if they were in charge of the government’s programs? Traders, analysts, researchers—and regulators—tell the various government agencies what they would do to restart the markets. The regulatory brainstorming panel.

      Moderator
       Jim Fratangelo, Vice President, BayView Financial Trading Group

      Panelists
       Susan Hickok, Financial Economist, Office of the Comptroller of Currency
       Glenn Schultz, Managing Director, Mortgage and Consumer ABS Research, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
       Kenneth Rosenberg, Director-ABS Syndicate, Credit Suisse Securities
       Susanna Kondracki, SVP, Valuation & Advisory Services, RiskSpan, Inc.

    • 11:10 – 12:00 PM—Back to the Future—The Secondary Market in 2009

      Haven’t we been here before—say about a generation ago? GSEs controlling the secondary marketplace? But…let’s hear it now for Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the FHA. If not for these agencies, there would be no secondary market. If the Treasury decides to pull the plug—for whatever reason—where will we stand? Is anyone going to trade whole loans with no securitization market? Not too likely. But…have we passed the time when that market could be government-sponsored? Or have we truly come back to the future?

      Moderator
       Robert Gaither, Principal, Secondary Marketing Head, Bank of America

      Panelists
       Joseph J. Murin, President, U.S. Dept. of Housing and Urban Development (Ginnie Mae)
       Garry Cipponeri, SVP, Secondary Marketing, Chase Home Finance
       Mark Ramsey, Director, Fannie Mae

    Top

    Collateral Risk Track

    • 10:10 – 11:00 AM—Transparency—the Mandate is Clear

      Panelists look into the government’s new transparency mandate from every industry angle—investment banking, CDO asset management, CDS trading, ratings analysis, and government regulators. Wide ranging and likely to stir a bit of controversy, this is the “it’s your own damn fault” or “everyone else is to blame” panel—depending on your personal perspective.

      Moderator
       Travis Smith, President and CEO, Loanovation Incorporated

      Panelists
       David Steckel, SVP, Origination Policy Executive, Bank of America Home Loans
       Stephen Ornstein, Partner, Sonnenschein, Nath & Rosenthal
       Kevin O'Hare, Managing Director, FTI Consulting

    • 11:10 – 12:00 PM—Data Overload—When Results Can’t Wait

      How do you digest all of the available data? How do you integrate it? How do you retain your own objectivity in such a wild, fast-changing environment? Truth be told, you could probably use some help designing and building meaningful analytics solutions that are capable of producing the collateral valuations and performance models your business depends on. Now more than ever before. Could professional advisory and valuation services take the heat off?

      Moderator
       Dan Feshbach, Founder—LoanPerformance

      Panelists
       Stefania Perrucci, Founder and CEO, New Sky Capital LLC
       Dmitri Rabin, Vice President, Securitization, Loomis Sayles & Company, L.P.
       Diane Maurice, Director, Credit Management, TD Securities (USA) LLC

    Top

    Modeling & Analytics Track

    • 11:10 – 12:00 PM—House Price Modeling—New Practices, Applications

      With the economy in recession and unemployment still rising—when will it all end? When will home prices actually start to improve? And when improvement comes will it be painfully gradual or will government actions speed the recovery? Is it possible to model home prices in such an environment with useful accuracy? How much are distressed sales and loan modifications distorting the data? How should house prices be measured now? How should they be incorporated into predictive models? Has anyone done a good job of predicting house prices?

      Moderator
       Kevin Gillen, PhD, Senior Housing Economist, First American CoreLogic

      Panelists
       Amy Crews Cutts, Deputy Chief Economist, Freddie Mac
       John Sim, Executive Director for Non-agency Residential Prime and Alt-A Markets Strategy, JP Morgan Securities
       Lakhbir Hayre, Managing Director, CitiGroup Global Markets

    Top

    Tuesday Afternoon

    Lunch

    • 12:00 Noon – 12:30 PM—Deli Lunch

    Analytic Solution Intensives

    An opportunity for more in-depth discussion and feedback, these Intensives, designed for analytics professionals and management, dive more deeply into the analytics, modeling methodologies and workflow solutions built for clients by LoanPerformance and First American CoreLogic experts.
    • 12:30 to 3:00 PM—Intensives

    • Track I
      • 12:30 – 1:30 PM—Leveraging consumer credit data for advanced risk analytics

        • Modeling approaches and cross-industry practices
        • Using merged datasets beyond traditional consumer credit data
        • Applications specific to the mortgage-backed securities market


      • 1:30 – 3:00 PM—Enhanced securities valuation and modeling techniques

        • The challenges of modeling mortgages in today’s market
        • Calibrating to recent experience to predict the short-term future
        • Leveraging loan-level agency and bank portfolio data to model new originations
        • Bond pricing analytics for the current market


      Track II
      • 12:30 – 1:30 PM—Advanced real estate price modeling and analytics

        • What shape is the market bottom—a V, U, W, or L?
        • The role of distressed properties in HPA trends—magnitude and direction
        • Factors contributing to the turn—what’s driving real estate forecasting today?


      • 1:30 – 3:00 PM—Triage and Due Diligence Workflow

        • Determining the right mix of automated tools and human due diligence
        • Exploration of different workflow processes and tools
        • Case study examples
      Track III
      • 12:30 – 1:30 PM—Loan modifications and portfolio surveillance modeling and analytics

        • Loan mod. behavior—does our industry have a handle on it yet?
        • What is the definition of a 'good mod?'
        • To mod or not to mod—that is the question


      • 1:30 – 3:00 PM—Leveraging consumer credit data for advanced risk analytics

        • The profile of the defaulted borrower—enhanced predictions of default
        • Willingness: the tie that binds—leveraging key borrower attributes during default and loss mitigation
        • What are the viable options in loss mitigation?


    Adjournment

    • 3:00 PM—RiskSummit 2009 Closes

    Top

    For More Information
    If you have any questions about the 2009 LoanPerformance RiskSummit, please contact us by email or by calling (415) 536-3525.


     
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